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Tuesday, November 24, 2009
Quick Post - Stories I am reading today
Some of the Business stories that caught my eye this morning:

Boston Globe story: As market surges, many can’t afford to hop back in
“Now is the time to invest,’’ said Caparell, who has picked up hours working at his girlfriend’s Roslindale flower shop. “But I’m more concerned about taking care of bills than with stocks.’’

Even with the stock market roaring back - the Dow Jones industrial average rose nearly 133 points yesterday, for instance, and the Standard & Poor’s 500 index is up more than 60 percent since March - ordinary investors are not reaping the benefits of the rally. By choice or necessity, they are sitting on the sidelines, unable to put money back into their retirement funds because they lost their jobs or face other economic troubles. Others are still gun-shy about the stock market and instead are pouring money into more con servative bond funds.

The result: Investors have withdrawn an estimated $27.6 billion from US stock funds and put about $329.5 billion into bonds this year, according to the Investment Company Institute, which tracks mutual fund investments.

It can be a cruel twist of fortune: The people who are most hurt in the recession are the people who are least able to benefit from a rising stock market. Meanwhile, people who have the financial means can take advantage of a fundamental principle of investing: buy when stocks are low and sell when they are high.


Wall Street Journal report: One in Four Borrowers Is Under Water
The proportion of U.S. homeowners who owe more on their mortgages than the properties are worth has swelled to about 23%, threatening prospects for a sustained housing recovery.

Nearly 10.7 million households had negative equity in their homes in the third quarter, according to First American CoreLogic, a real-estate information company based in Santa Ana, Calif.

These so-called underwater mortgages pose a roadblock to a housing recovery because the properties are more likely to fall into bank foreclosure and get dumped into an already saturated market. Economists from J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. said Monday they didn't expect U.S. home prices to hit bottom until early 2011, citing the prospect of oversupply.

Home prices have fallen so far that 5.3 million U.S. households are tied to mortgages that are at least 20% higher than their home's value, the First American report said. More than 520,000 of these borrowers have received a notice of default, according to First American.

Most U.S. homeowners still have some equity, and nearly 24 million owner-occupied homes don't have any mortgage, according to the Census Bureau.
Question: How many owner-occupied homes exist in the US? That 24 million figure - what percentage of homes in the US are owned free and clear?

NPR story: Children's Furniture Store Struggles To Survive
Sales at That's My Room have slowed to $3,000 to $5,000 a month. The Levys haven't taken a paycheck home since the store opened a year and a half ago.

The Levys are in their 30s and have no children. Before opening That's My Room, Jon had a job in software sales, and Aimee was a physical therapist.

"We kind of wanted to do something together," says Aimee Levy. "He's my best friend, and we actually work really well together — and I just thought, why not?"

Soon after the store opened, the recession hit.

Keeping the company going has taken hard work, sacrifice and an effusive optimism that you'd find only in a couple who drive a pink bunny van with a furry inside to promote the store.

Bed sales are the couple's bread and butter, but the Levys have endured monthlong stretches without any. Over the winter, the couple worked at bars to make ends meet.

"Soon, we were pushing about 80 to 90 hours of work a week," says Jon Levy. His wife says that it took a toll on their relationship.

Then the couple fell behind on making their home mortgage payments. But they wanted to keep the store, so Aimee Levy returned to work as a physical therapist.
posted by Boston Gal @ 7:39 AM  * *

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7 Comments:
  • At 9:06 AM, November 24, 2009, Anonymous Scott said…

    OK, if 10.7 million homes are the equivalent of 23% then (pulls out calculator) that gives a total of 46.5 million owner occupied homes. If 24 million are owned without a mortgage, that's over 50%, more than I figured would be the case.

     
  • At 1:14 PM, November 24, 2009, Anonymous Frumpulent Grumpton said…

    Concerning the Boston Globe story... how is now the time to invest?? That was in March. While I'm not cashing out of stocks, I'm not gangbusters either after this 6-month run-up.

    Aren't P/E's a bit high right now? And it seems like earnings are coming from cost-cutting a.k.a. employment cuts.

     
  • At 4:22 PM, November 24, 2009, Anonymous Angie said…

    You know, we purchased at what turned out to be the top of the market, with a solid down payment, a fixed mortgage - doing everything "right." We are now probably $100k+ underwater. But, we can afford our mortgage. I now have not one, but two sets of friends purchasing in our same development, undoubtedly getting a steal for a home similar to ours. Makes you want to just give up and try to game the system. BUT - we have good jobs, a roof over our head, and most importantly a wonderful baby boy born this summer, so really, I'll be giving thanks this year.

     
  • At 7:31 PM, November 24, 2009, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    census.gov says that in 2007 there were 75 million owner occupied homes and almost 25 million with no mortgage.

     
  • At 10:36 PM, November 24, 2009, Anonymous Boston Gal said…

    OK, so somewhere between 33% - 50% of homes in the US are owned out-right.

    Now I am curious if there is anyway to know how this breaks down by age.

    But the real question is - are more people, as a result of this great recession, paying off their mortgages? Is this causing younger people to conclude that given so much economic uncertainty that paying off the house note is one of the few guaranteed returns around? I am not just thinking of my own recent decision to start throwing as much as I can at my principal, but also of bloggers like Hedonic Adjustment who recently announced he was retiring his mortgage this year.

    Will one of the legacies of the great recession be an unwillingness of people to pay banks for money?

     
  • At 7:51 AM, November 25, 2009, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Anonymous said...
    census.gov says that in 2007 there were 75 million owner occupied homes and almost 25 million with no mortgage.

    That means there are only 25 million owner occupied homes. If you have a mortgage you are not the owner.

     
  • At 8:44 AM, November 25, 2009, Anonymous Boston Gal said…

    Hi Anonymous,

    While I can understand the spirit behind your comment, it is not technically accurate. My understanding is that in this country, you are the owner of your home once the deed is executed in your name. You may voluntarily give that deed to your bank as collateral in order to obtain the loan which enables you to purchase the home in the first place. But even the bank does not "own" your home until they go through the legal process of foreclosure or the homeowner voluntarily signs-over the deed to the bank.

    To extend your comment further - do you believe that a college graduate does not own the diploma if they have student loans?

    Do uninsured infants born in a hospital to parents who can't pay the bill in full on exit really belong to the medical facility and not the parents?

    Looks like I get philosophical before feasting days - who knew?!

     
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